Saturday, March 28, 2009

GM and Chrysler Will Get More Help, With Tighter Strings

Even though the automakers haven't delivered promised debt restructuring, they appear set to get billions more in taxpayer dollars
By David Welch
President Barack Obama will likely throw General Motors (GM) and a lifeline on Monday, Mar. 30. But it won't be carte blanche for either carmaker.
The Treasury Dept. previously set a deadline of Mar. 31 for Chrysler and GM to get needed concessions from the United Auto Workers union and their creditors, and show that they have strong business plans. The reasoning was that if they sufficiently cut factory costs, retiree obligations, they would be viable and worthy of more cash to get through the recession.
Neither company has met its targets. So the President and his Auto Task Force will likely promise the two companies enough cash to keep going for the next few weeks or months, but the Administration will set a firm deadline to get all restructuring done, say people familiar with the matter. GM needs—at a bare minimum—to reduce its $20 billion debt to the UAW by $10 billion, and to cut bond debt from $28 billion to about $9 billion. Chrysler also has to reduce its debts.
No Specifics Available
"There won't be any grand commitments," says David E. Cole, chairman of the Ann Arbor (Mich.)-based Center for Automotive Research, which has advised the task force. "I think they will give the company, union, and bondholders a firm deadline to get everything done or they go to Plan B. They won't like Plan B."
The Treasury Dept. isn't giving specifics on what it wants or how much assistance the government would give, but the President and his team will announce what kinds of restructuring moves and changes the carmakers need to take to continue getting the funds they have requested and avoid bankruptcy. While pushing GM and Chrysler into bankruptcy is an option if the UAW and creditors don't budge, Auto Task Force lead adviser Steven Rattner has said it's not the preferred option. "All indications are that they will provide support," says John McEleney, chairman of the National Auto Dealers Assn., who has met with the task force. "There doesn't seem to be any appetite for bankruptcy."
GM has already received $13.4 billion and wants $16.6 billion more. Chrysler has borrowed $4 billion and has asked for another $5 billion in loans. A GM spokesman declined comment and a Treasury Dept. official said only that details are coming Monday.
GM Bondholders Have Balked
GM has been negotiating with its bondholders to slash its unsecured debt by two-thirds. But bondholders have balked, asking for a bit more than one-third cash and the rest stock. They have also asked the government to guarantee the debt. In the last week, the bondholders also claimed that they hadn't had enough time at the table with GM or the Auto Task Force.
But talks have resumed recently. CNBC said Friday that GM offered bondholders 8¢ in cash, 16¢ in new unsecured debt, and new stock in GM. The bonds have traded for around 20¢ on the dollar.
Bondholders have argued that even though GM is offering more than the 20¢ that some bondholders paid, GM isn't offering to cash them out. So the company is only reducing the face value of the bonds and giving those investors equity.
GM Needs $30 billion From Uncle Sam
At the same time, GM owes the UAW $20 billion to create a union-led health-care trust for retiree medical benefits. The UAW already accepted half of a similar debt from rival Ford Motor (F) in cash. GM could get a similar deal and be compliant with the original request from the Treasury Dept., but one source familiar with the talks said that GM wants the UAW to take less than half the $20 billion in cash and the rest in stock.
GM may need to get the UAW and bondholders to accept more stock than cash than the original plan asked for. The car market has deteriorated since last year, when the Bush Administration set up the parameters for restructuring the company's balance sheet. With sales in the tank, GM needs $30 billion in government money—about the same amount of debt the company must negotiate away.
Even if the union and bondholders agree to the terms set last year, GM would still end up with well over $60 billion in debt, which is right where the company was before borrowing any government money. GM pays more than $3 billion a year in interest, and the cash payments are draining money that could go to designing and marketing new models and developing technology.
Stock Would be Wiped Out in Bankruptcy
Bondholders have been leery of taking too much stock, since its value would be wiped out in bankruptcy. But Cole notes that Chrysler stock went as low as $2 a share in 1979. That's when the government gave Chrysler a $1.5 billion loan guarantee in exchange for stock warrants. The company bought the shares back from Treasury at $21.50 in 1983, giving Uncle Sam a nice profit. If GM and Chrysler make it, Cole says, the union, bondholders and government could make out quite nicely once the car market rebounds.
The Treasury Dept. may also weigh in on whether Chrysler is a stand-alone carmaker or needs a partner. Members of the task force have met with Chrysler CEO Robert Nardelli and, reportedly, with Fiat CEO Sergio Marchionne. Chrysler has a deal to give Fiat 35% ownership of the U.S. automaker if it can restructure its debt. "The government will probably encourage a partner, whether it's Fiat or someone else," Cole says.
Beyond restructuring moves, the automakers and their dealers are hoping the Obama Administration will push greater incentives to sell cars. A "Cash-for-Clunkers" introduced by Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), would give buyers up to $4,500 for trading in an old car for a new and more fuel-efficient one. The legislation is gaining momentum, said McEleney, chairman of the National Auto Dealers Assn. The bill has been tied up as some lawmakers want the bill to give the incentive only for American-made cars while others want it to be agnostic as to whether the cars are made in the U.S. or imported.
Junk Car Plan Worked in Germany
McEleney said he met with the Auto Task Force in early March and told its members that the current sales levels—which are running at an annualized rate of about 9 million cars, compared with 16 million or more in recent years—isn't sustainable for any car company.
A similar junked-car incentive did well for workers in Germany last month. The German government gave consumers about $3,200 if they traded in an old model for a new one. Sales in Germany rose 22% in February, while they plummeted elsewhere around Europe. That may not be part of Obama's auto industry plan that is coming Monday, but the idea "seems to have life with Congress," McEleney says. And it suits two of Obama's goals: It would help the carmakers and get old cars—which spew the dirtiest emissions—off the road.
From:Businessweek

Friday, March 27, 2009

Obama tells banks 'work together'

President Barack Obama has met with top US bankers to discuss his latest plans to stabilise the US financial system and boost the US economy.
Mr Obama called the bosses of the biggest US banks to the White House and told them: "We are in this together."
The president said that his message to the bankers was "show some restraint."
The boss of Goldman Sachs said after the meeting "the problems will be solved" and "we are at the end of beginning, the hard works starts now."
He said the money spent on stimulating the economy would be money well spent.
Mr Obama said that he had asked the bankers to "show some restraint. Show that you get that this is a crisis and everybody has to make sacrifices.
They agreed and they recognized it," he said. "Now, the proof of the pudding is in the eating."
The meeting was a bridge-building exercise by the Obama administration after coming under fire last week for allowing huge bonuses to be paid to AIG executives.
Far-reaching plans
There are three measures needed to turn the economy around, said Lloyd Blankfein, chief executive of Goldman Sachs: "Stimulating the economy, arresting the fall in asset prices and fixing the financial system."
All three were now in place, he added.
"The capital markets are recovering and the stimulus [package] is just starting to get into people's pockets," said Jamie Dimon, chief executive of JP Morgan Chase.
Richard Davis, chief executive of Bancorp, was equally upbeat following the meeting. He said he could see the "beginning of a turn [in the economy], we can start to see a bottom."
He also said the 13 bankers present at the meeting understood the public's anger at bonuses paid to executives of banks that have received government aid.
However, he said that the money Bancorp took from the government "was a good investment, it was not a bail-out."
The government is getting a good rate of interest and it will get its money back, he said.
Despite the optimism of the leading bankers, John Mack, chief executive of Morgan Stanley, sounded a more cautionary note about the time needed for the government measures to take effect.
"Nothing is going to be instantaneous, it's going to take time," he said.
Toxic assets
The US government announced a plan earlier this week to work together with banks and private investors to heThe "Public-Private Investment Programme" is designed to buy up to $1 trillion (£686bn) worth of toxic assets to help repair banks' balance sheets.
Specifically, it will purchase the troubled mortgages and securities that have been at the root of the credit crunch.
And on Thursday US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner outlined on Thursday far-reaching plans to strengthen government authority over the US financial system.
Mr Geithner told a US House Committee that a simpler, more effective regulatory system was needed.
The measures are designed to prevent the kind of systemic risk-taking among banks that contributed to the current financial crisis.
The Obama administration has made it clear that it sees the banks as essential to an economic recovery.
The chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, recently told Congress that while the recession may end in 2009, that would happen "only if" financial stability was restored.
From BBC

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Seven power steps to accomplish your goals in 2009

Have you observed strange something about “new” that keeps our mind occupied with new solutions, new ambitions, new dreams, new projects and new wishes? New Year gives an ideal outset for leading up the next chapter of our life and making it happier and cheerier than the previous one.
However not every ambition and wish becomes reality. Going on your initial zeal and enthusiasm over the long period of time is often difficult. If you have planned something last year you obviously know how hard it is to stay committed to them.
Uncovering the motive why so many people abandon their New Year’s plans, mostly as fast as they make them, is simple.
While plans for the New Year provide us a fantastic sense of positive meaning, they are really tough to stick with unless we turn them into obvious, clear and well-defined objectives.
Here are a few goal setting tips that will help you to stay on track with your plans and make the upcoming year more fabulous:
1. Get It Right!
Before attempting to devise any actual long-term objective for the next year have a ‘mind dump’. It’s fantastic yet easy to get a lot of ideas out of your head, clear your mind and get a positive view of your plans, resolutions, and desires.
Dedicate at least 20 minutes of your committed time to brainstorm. Just sit down, deep-breath and relax. Take a pencil and paper and write down whatever plans come to your mind. You don’t need to analyze anything. Just note it down. Big or small. Little desires or big life changes. Everything you hope you had gotten to, but didn’t. Anything you desired for a long time, but never had enough time, determination, or diligence to go through.
2. Pick Your Goal!
Take a look at the plans that you have penned down… Are any of your goals out of reach? What is the most crucial goal for you just now?
I’m pretty sure that there are many goals that you would like to achieve, but only few of them will have the most expectant affect on your life this year.
Which goal is that? Is it something that can be accomplished in a single year? Or will it need you more time? If it is a long-standing goal that will take several years to accomplish, you might want to break it down into smaller goals that you can achieve in less that a year. Or else, there is a great chance of losing passion and initial drive.
3. One Love; One Goal!
Don’t set a large number of different goals at the same time. While it may seem like a good idea to divide your focus, time and energy between multiple goals, in reality it is counter-productive.
When you define a goal - you make a promise to stay dedicated to it. If you are acting on a lot of goals at the same time, you aren’t devoted to any of them. You’re just going with the flow, anticipating that you’ll get time to grip everything into your already busy schedule. But what you do in reality is lose control of your time and let outside circumstances prescribe your life.
One goal allows you clarity and focus. Ten goals create disorder and perplexity.
If you want to do well in achieving your goal next year, focus on just one goal at a time and stick to it until it is achieved 100%. Then decide on the next one.
I admit that we wish to have the whole thing right this moment. Human is impatient by nature. But take some time to reflect on this: It is far better to accomplish one major goal than set 10 goals and fail to achieve any of them!
4. Create Your Mantra
Once you’ve determined your goal, turn it into a personal statement. And then turn it into something more than a statement - make it your own mantra or a verbal formula that is continuously repeated in your mind.
Ensure that you make your goal as detailed and clear as possible. There is a great way to check if your goal is stated correctly. Look at your goal “from the distance”. Forget that you have written these words just a few hours ago. Imagine that you see this statement for the first time, because your friend wants to know your opinion on it. Do you have any questions? Or maybe you would like to clarify a few things? If so, make adjustments to your goal, until it is 100% clear to everyone who reads it for the first time.
After that put copies of your goal on an index card, make it your desktop wallpaper, post it in the car or right next to your bathroom mirror or next to your computer at work.
Ensure that your goal is always at a forefront of your mind. Repeat it out loud every single day. Make your goal a center of your focus.This will help you to keep your motivation and excitement high throughout the day.
5. Decide On an Action Plan
Many people fail to achieve their goals not because they lack desire or enthusiasm, but because they fail to plan their success out.
Goals are not simple items on your to-do list. They can’t be done overnight. Any worthwhile goal requires sustained effort and energy over the long period of time. Without a well-thought action plan it is almost impossible to carry big goals out.
If you want to noticeably improve your chances of success - plan specific actions that will lead you to the desired result. Your goal should be your compass that will point you into the right direction.
Your action plan is a detailed map that with the baby steps will take you to your destination point. Action plan also helps you to monitor your progress, while giving you a sense of accomplishment and making the whole process seem a lot easier.
6. Make Your Success Inevitable
Even if the goal that we have chosen sounds really appealing, it doesn’t mean that we will stick to it. When it comes to doing actual work, our motivation disappears with a speed of light.
Here is a quick example. Having a beautiful, toned and slim body is a very inspirational goal. We all want to be healthy and look great. However, getting up early in the morning to run 1 mile, denying ourselves things we love to eat, changing our lifestyle sounds much less appealing. At this point we have to consciously force ourselves into doing all these things to get the end result that we want.Of course, if you have an iron will and unbending self-discipline, you will achieve your goal anyways. But if you are like me, you probably won’t torture yourself for a long period of time. Fortunately, there is a way how you can accomplish anything you desire, without having to force yourself into doing something.
All you have to do is set up the right conditions and let things happen for themselves.
For example, if you want to get more exercise, you can find a friend who wants to get back in shape and offer him/her to exercise together. Or set up an appointment with a personal trainer at the gym. He will stay by your side the whole time and you will more likely do your best. Or you can make a deal with your spouse that every workout that you’ll skip, you’ll give him/her $40.
Leave yourself no escape from achieving your goal. What conditions can you set up to make your success inevitable? With a little imagination and support of your friends and family you can accomplish any goal!
7. Build on Your Success
No matter what goal you have decided to pursue, there is only one way to achieve it - take a first step and build on your success gradually.
There is no way around it. You can’t become a multi-millionaire without making your first million. You can’t get in shape and have a gorgeous looking body, without doing the first workout. You can’t write a book, without writing the first chapter.
Whatever you want to accomplish you must do something every single day towards making your wish reality.
Even if you do just a little bit. Something that doesn’t require a lot of your time of effort, but you do it DAILY; you will achieve even your most daring goals.
Don’t let a single day go by without “incrementally” adding to an accomplishment of your goal. Consistency is the most important factor of success. Not motivation, not knowledge, not your skills - but consistency.
When we are first faced with everything we must do in order to achieve our goal it is easy to feel overwhelmed. When a goal seems too difficult to accomplish we often procrastinate, preferring to postpone hard work for later. The problem with it is that “later” may never come.
The only moment when you can change or do something is NOW. Don’t delude yourself with self-justifications that it is ok to skip today, if you do twice the work the next day. Deep down you know that it is just another story that you are telling yourself.
January 1st is a great starting point to change your life for the better. Make no excuses next year! Do something that will take you closer to your goal every single day. Even a tiny step towards your goal creates momentum and boosts motivation. And it is a step that you will never have to take again.

Friday, March 13, 2009

5 things you should never put on your resume

Job searching can be a lonely, frustrating place. It’s time consuming and it rarely comes without rejection. In most cases, your years of hard work are represented on one or two pages and evaluated by someone who has probably never worked in your position. And it’s that step that determines if you are in the “in” interview pile or the “out” pile.
Those two pages of finely tuned words ARE you, until you have the chance to let your personality shine through in the interview. Here are my top five things to avoid putting on your resume.
1.Giving personal data. Your resume should be a business representation of you. Avoid listing your marital status, age, family data, hobbies, etc. You should have hobbies and a life outside of work, but it’s not necessary to include them on your resume UNLESS the hobby or information is relevant to the job itself. Your prospective employer will find this all out anyways on your Facebook or Myspace page (so make sure it’s representative of what you want them to know). Your age, sexual preference, martial status or family information (children, ages, etc.) are irrelevant. The unfortunate truth is that hiring managers may base their decisions on whether or not to interview and hire you based on the information you provide, discriminatory or not. Don’t let them make that judgment.
2.Listing every job since adolescence. The Starbucks Barista job that got you through college isn’t for the resume. If it’s not relevant to your current job search, drop it. Think: Did this job prepare me to be a PR pro? If not, don’t list it. That goes for internships too. If you have more than five years experience your internships are no longer relevant.
3.Going more than two pages. This is a tough one, especially for candidates with lots of experience. You may have the temptation of wanting to list all of your relevant experience, but nobody reads more than two pages. So don’t give in, no matter how much experience you have. Find a way to cut it down. A good way to start is by focusing on accomplishments for each position rather than a long list of responsibilities.
4.Personal pronouns. Writing your resume in the first person detracts from your accomplishments. It adds unnecessary work and wastes space. The same goes for referring to yourself in the third person. Examples: “I pitched business and trade publications such as…” or “Jane has 15 years of experience…”
5.Providing references or stating “references upon request.” You need references, but not on your resume. You don’t want your valued references being called before you have a chance to let them know. If a company requires references, it will ask you for them when you are seriously being considered for the position. Listing “references upon request” at the bottom of your resume is a given and wastes valuable space.

Wen Voices Concern Over China's U.S. Treasuries

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao expressed concern over the outlook for the U.S. government debt China holds, urging Washington to take effective policies to restore the American economy to health. He also said China can do more to boost its economy if that becomes necessary.

Speaking at his annual press conference, Mr. Wen voiced confidence in the Chinese government's ability to keep its own economy growing, and said it has the resources to roll out additional stimulus measures if needed.
"We have reserved adequate ammunition. We can at any time introduce new stimulus policies," he said.
Mr. Wen reaffirmed that China can meet its traditional target of economic growth of around 8%. He said market expectations last week of another stimulus package were based on "rumors and misunderstandings," and that China's existing four trillion yuan investment program addresses "both short term and long term needs."
But he noted that the U.S. remains the world's largest economy, and said that China is closely watching the effects of policies taken by U.S. President Barack Obama.
"We have lent a huge amount of money to the U.S., so of course we are concerned about the safety of our assets. I do in fact have some worries," Mr. Wen said in response to a question. He called on the U.S. to "maintain its credibility, honor its commitments and guarantee the safety of Chinese assets."
China holds the world's largest foreign-exchange reserves, reported at $1.946 trillion at the end of 2008, and about two-thirds of that sum is believed to be held in U.S. dollar assets, primarily Treasury bonds. Mr. Wen repeated China's position that the foreign reserves are managed with a view to "safety, liquidity and profitability" – in that order. He said that while China's first priority is to protect its own interests, it will "at the same time also take international financial stability into consideration, because the two are inter-related."
The generally mild-mannered Mr. Wen, who holds a press conference every year at the close of the National People's Congress, China's legislative session, spoke in an unusually forceful tone in addressing concerns about the effect of China's own policies on the global economy.
He noted that China has not pushed down the value of the yuan, and repeated the government's commitment to currency stability "at a reasonable and balanced level." The yuan has hovered around 6.84 to the dollar since July 2008, but Mr. Wen noted that because the dollar has strengthened against other Asian and European currencies, the yuan has actually been stronger overall, which he said has pressured Chinese exports.
Mr. Wen said China alone would decide where the yuan goes from here. "No country can pressure us to appreciate or depreciate" the currency, he said.
Mr. Wen said China has maintained social stability overall, despite an increase in job losses.
He said the most important way for the country to address unemployment is to support the development of small- and medium-sized enterprises, which employ 90% of workers.
His comments underscore how such smaller companies have been hurt badly by the global financial crisis, but also show the difficulties the government will likely face in creating jobs, since a big part of the government investment plan targets infrastructure projects likely to help bigger companies.
"We will make boosting employment a key task in economic and social development, and will continue to take forceful measures" to support employment, he said.
Mr. Wen also said China hopes to reach an agreement on closer economic cooperation with Taiwan as soon as possible and said both sides need to cooperate to deal with the global financial crisis. He also said China will make "reasonable arrangements" for the island's participation in certain international groups, such as the World Health Assembly, the decision-making body of the World Health Organization. The Chinese government has long opposed Taiwan's participation in international organizations.
China will resolutely support the economic development of Hong Kong and Macau, and introduce a yuan-settlement trial involving both territories as soon as possible, Mr. Wen said.
Using the yuan to settle trade is an important step toward the eventual full convertibility of the yuan. It also allows Chinese traders to know exactly how much they will receive in their local currency, a way to bypass the currency risk that has buffeted the export sector over the last 12 months.
Responding to a question whether China is willing to increase its contribution to the International Monetary Fund, Mr. Wen said that increasing the IMF's capital isn't a matter for just one country, but a burden that should be shared by all IMF members in line with their quotas. He repeated China's stance that the IMF should take into account the interests of developing countries.
The European Union this week called for a doubling of IMF resources and U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has laid out several proposals to increase funding for the Fund.
China has been at pains to show it is being a responsible global citizen amid the financial crisis, speaking out frequently against protectionism and taking some measures to open its own markets. Mr. Wen's comments came a day after China said it had begun to allow local authorities to approve certain foreign investments, in a move to ease foreign investment at a time when it has been declining sharply. Foreign investment has been vital for providing jobs and introducing new technology and management practices.
Mr. Wen was speaking on the eve of a meeting of finance ministers and central bankers of the Group of 20 nations in London, which will lay the groundwork for the summit of G20 leaders on April 2.
The G20 should continue to pay attention to helping developing economies, especially the least developed ones, at its upcoming meetings, Mr. Wen said.

—Victoria Ruan and Terence Poon contributed to this article.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

AT&T Will Spend $565M to Green its Vehicle Fleet

AT&T pledged to spend $565 million to replace its current vehicle fleet with models that run on alternative fuels, the Detroit Free Press reports. The firm will buy over 15,000 hybrid and natural-gas-powered cars, mainly from Ford. AT&T billed the move as not only environmentally responsible but also as an act of economic stimulus—it estimates the move will save or create 1,000 jobs the next 5 years.
“This investment is a first step on our part to help boost other industries while at the same time encouraging wider use and production of efficient vehicles and domestic fuel alternatives,” AT&T’s CEO said. The firm will also lobby for creation of natural-gas fueling stations in the states where it operates to service the new fleet.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Shopping

To a girl at our age,shopping may be the most interesting thing to do in our spare time,but sometimes shopping in what store may be a difficult choice to make.
In my opinion ,shopping in a place which is clean and bright will mke me feel comfortable.The store should not be very large,it can be a small shop,but it should be clean,everyone wants to buy things in a clean place rather than a dirty place.The shop should be also bright so that we can look into the things more clearly.
I like The International Shopping Center in my hometown,Zhangjiagang.It's not as big as Metro in Suzhou,but it's also clean and bright.I can often get what I want in the center ,and the conductors are also very helpful and friendly,they even know what I acctually want although I haven't told them.

Saturday, March 7, 2009

Microsoft to let PC users turn off IE Web browser

By Jessica Mintz, AP Technology Writer
Microsoft tweaks Windows 7 settings for Web browser in possible bid to stave off EU action
SEATTLE (AP) -- A single check box deep in the guts of the next version of Windows is giving Microsoft Corp. watchers a peek at how the software maker plans to keep European antitrust regulators from marring a crucial software launch.

Windows 7, the successor to the much-maligned Vista, isn't expected to reach consumers until next year, but more than a million people are already testing early versions. A pair of bloggers tinkering with settings stumbled upon one they hadn't seen before: The ability to "turn off" Microsoft's own Internet Explorer browser.
Microsoft lost a long-running battle with EU antitrust regulators in 2007 over the way it bundled media player software into the Windows operating system. The dust had barely settled when a similar claim was filed, this time over Internet Explorer's place inside Windows. Opera Software ASA, a Norwegian competitor, claimed the practice gives Microsoft's browser an unfair advantage.
In a preliminary decision in January, the EU agreed. Since then, makers of the open-source browser Firefox and Google Inc., which entered the browser market six months ago, have offered to provide more evidence that Microsoft is stifling competition.
In the media player dispute, the EU heavily fined Microsoft and forced it to sell a version of Windows without the offending program installed. This time, Microsoft appears to be offering the check-box solution as a way to head off a similar ending.
The company declined to comment Friday on the connection between the check boxes and the EU's preliminary decision. But in a recent quarterly filing, it said the European Commission may order PC makers to install multiple browsers on new PCs and force Microsoft to disable parts of its own Internet Explorer if people chose a competing browser.
The check boxes, which were described on Microsoft enthusiast blogs http://www.aeroxp.org and http://www.chris123nt.com, also give Windows 7 users a way to disable the media player and hard-drive search programs, among other components, both of which have drawn scrutiny from regulators.
After Windows Vista landed with a thud, Microsoft needs a hit, said Michael Cherry, an analyst for the research group Directions on Microsoft. Beyond appeasing the EU, he said he didn't see much use for the Internet Explorer check box.
"Windows 7 is becoming more and more important for Microsoft," he said in an interview. "You don't want anything that gives anyone even a doubt as to whether or not they should upgrade."

Monday, March 2, 2009

General Motors' High-Wire Bankruptcy Act

It's Wall Street against Big Labor as GM and Chrysler hint at Chapter 11 filings to frighten creditors and workers into discounting debt
On the eve of a deadline to submit their viability plans to the U.S. Treasury, General Motors (GM) and Chrysler executives continued scrambling on Feb. 16 to cut a deal that would restructure both labor costs and debt. If the companies don't show that they are viable in the long run, the government could refuse to give either one additional money. Without help from the government, Chapter 11 bankruptcy is a real option.
But getting all sides to agree is tough. GM said in December that it wants its bondholders to take 30¢ on the dollar for their GM debt and receive stock to make up for the rest. GM also wants to give a United Auto Workers-led trust fund half the value of $21 billion in obligations in cash and the rest in stock. Both the union and a committee of GM bondholders want the other creditor to make big concessions. "It will be a face off between the union and bondholders with GM in the middle," says David E. Cole, chairman of the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Mich.
Bondholders are unhappy that they are being offered 30% on their bonds while the union is being offered 50% on its debt. The UAW is wary of taking too steep a cut on the cash portion of the so-called VEBA, or Voluntary Employee Benefits Association Trust. The trust fund is supposed to be set up next year with $36 billion in GM cash and bonds to pay for retiree healthcare for some 80 years. But with GM short of cash, the company can't afford to fund the trust. So the company wants the UAW to take $10 billion in cash and the rest in equity for the remaining $20 billion the company owes.
Federal task force needs time, too
To satisfy Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Lawrence Summers, one of President Barack Obama's chief economic advisors, GM will have to placate both the UAW and the bondholders. Officially, GM has said only that it is talking to all parties.
Privately, GM executives say that they will probably not have everything done by the Tuesday deadline. That may be just fine. The new task force—which is headed by Geithner and Summers but includes members from such other departments as Commerce, Energy, Transportation, Labor, and the Environmental Protection Agency—will probably not make a final decision on funding this week.
If they don't think the automakers' plans go far enough, the task force could ask all parties to get back to negotiating a deal that restructures GM and Chrysler. Thus the Feb. 17 deadline is more likely to start the process of restructuring the two companies. "I highly doubt that the President set up a task force to vote up or down this week," says Rep. Thaddeus McCotter (R-Mich). "This is a first important step in what will be the start of the process between all stakeholders."
Do Bondholders Lack Leverage?
Meanwhile, sources say that GM has looked at the possibility of a bankruptcy filing. But executives say that the company still views that as a last-ditch move. The prospect could also be used as leverage with bondholders, some of whom want to hold out for a better deal than GM has offered. Ultimately, Cole says, "the bondholders are going to have to play."
It's easy to see why. GM had somewhere around $12 billion in cash before borrowing $9.4 billion from the government. Even if the company still had the $21.4 billion in cash, unsecured creditors stand behind $11.8 billion in secured debt and the government loans. Plus a bankruptcy judge would order the company to pay suppliers first. That could leave bondholders begging in bankruptcy.
But do they believe that GM will go bankrupt? The government will want to avoid that, says IHS Global Insight analyst Aaron Bragman. It would cost more than $100 billion to put workers on unemployment benefits and draw on other social programs should GM fail, says Bragman. The bondholders know this and may use it as bargaining power to ask for more than 30 cents on the dollar. "It may simply be a tactic to try to get the UAW and the company's bondholders back to the negotiating table, Bragman says.
To get a deal done, GM and Treasury officials will have to convince the bondholders that the threat of Chapter 11 is real.
With David Kiley in Detroit

(From BusinessWeek)